Pro Football Betting
Did you know that most recreational bettors don't make a profit from their pro football betting hobby. This includes bettors who know what they are doing and those who couldn't hit a barn with a ball from five feet away. Why? Most of the time the bettor wagering on football as a hobby can never find the necessary time to do all the work needed to find the right matchup to bet on. They may have all the skill in the world but they do not have the time to do the job right. They concentrate their research on T.V. games or the big matchups of the week and miss out on the opportunities the other games that might not be on T.V. or the big game of the week. You need to look at every angle of each game and filter out the worst match-ups so you have only the best match-ups left. Then you need to research more, check weather, injuries, motivation, home/away factors and coaching. (this list could go on forever on what types of variables to look into) Then filter out your best picks. Don't quit now. It is a tiresome job but you have to keep moving forward. If you take a shortcut now you will end up paying in the end. You need to keep researching and filtering through all the games to find the right matchup. By now that word has to be driving you crazy but it is the key to pro football betting. Research each variable and then cross check games to pin down the best opportunities to cash in. Okay, you got all the information from your hours upon hours of research. Now what do you do? Are you ready to make some money betting pro football? Good questions if I don't mind saying so myself. Ponder that thought for a moment??. Each week in the NFL is very unique. In order to give yourself the opportunity to walk away with cash in your pocket, you need to apply that information correctly in pro football betting. Here at Thehooks we meet and discuss pro football betting and specific games weeks in advance. We swap information and start filtering games out so we can narrow the best choices down. Typically we have a list with all our research by Monday for the upcoming games. Then we research some more and check into injuries, motivation, weather, and other variables. We meet again on Wednesday and come up with our best picks. We monitor and recheck the games and finalize our picks by Thursday. There is a lot of time in researching and trading information going on between us during this period. From Friday to Sunday we continue this trend to make sure there is no breaking news that could hamper our opportunity to have the highest winning percentage for the week. If you have people in your network that will put in this effort, are willing to spend the time, and you know will do the quality work that is needed, then I suggest you to do the same thing that we do. Without these qualities, your football betting season could be a long season. Betting pro football is exciting but it takes a commitment to have the money come rolling in. Do your homework or the final test, game day, could be a disaster. Leo Mendelsohn
Thehooks
http://www.thehooksfootballpicks.com
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The Truth About Roulette Systems and How to Win!
The Truth about Roulette Systems and How to Win!
Casinos have an edge and they make money, FACT. Players bet on Roulette and the game has a built in edge in the casinos favour. The player wins or loses on individual bets, but the casino is looking at the odds over the LONG term.
It's a bit like the way the insurance companies calculate insurance premiums, they lose sometimes, but they have an edge in their favour where premiums collected are more than their payouts.
Therefore, Individual bets even out over the long term and the casino earns according to the following equation:
Casino Profit = (Total Bets All Players) x (House Edge)
The House Edge
Roulette balls and dice have no memory. Every spin in roulette is independent of all past events and the current spin is not influenced by previous spins. This combined with the house edge dooms all roulette systems to failure.
Roulette systems cannot work, as there is no reliable data to base a system on in the first place. If you don't have data you rely on, you can't have a system that works!
Over time, the longer you play, the ratio of money lost to money bet will get closer to the house edge. If you win in the short or long term, it is purely down to chance, or luck.
Roulette Systems - Progression Systems
Progression systems are based on the belief that this equation can be beaten. It is an attempt to ignore the truth and tries to place bets according to a set equation in an attempt to change the house edge in favour of the player. There are two main types of progression roulette systems:
Negative Progression
A system where wagers are raised after a losing bet is called a negative progression. The logic behind this type of betting system is the frequency of winning sessions.
It assumes that in almost every session, the player will be able to leave on a win.
The downside is that loosing sessions can be very expensive for the player. The most famous of these systems is the Martingale system. While a player would lose over time anyway, the casino gives itself some added protection restricting the number of consecutive bets!
Positive Progression
Another method is positive progression, pyramiding, or letting a profit ride.
Players are willing to gamble more aggressively with money they have won in order to win bigger amounts.
The downside of these systems is the player needs to keep winning.
The player needs a long series of wins and the odds are strongly against him, in fact the house edge tells you that he can't win and the longer he plays the more obvious this will become.
The fact they are sometimes playing with winnings is irrelevant over time to their overall profitability.
Winning at Roulette
It is obvious from the above that casinos can't lose over the long term because of the house edge.
The above systems will not work, as there is no reliable data to base them on.
Players can win in the short term, (by chance), but the longer they play the more the casino gains an edge and wins.
To get the house edge down to its lowest level does not require roulette systems, all you need to do is know the right bets and how to place them.
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Amazing Lottery Secrets - Just the Facts!
When it comes to Lottery Secrets, we've discovered amazing and powerful
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Why No-Limit Poker is Better Than Limit
If you are a tight-aggressive player, you need to consider playing No-Limit Hold 'em if you aren't already. With proper play, not only can you expect to increase your hourly win rate, but you can make it much more difficult for your opponents to draw out on you.
Four Tips for Online Poker ? Tells, Mixing it Up, Preflop Rasies and Changing Gears
Tip One: Mix Up Your Play: Once you have mastered the fundamentals of a
particular game (for the purpose of this article we'll use No Limit Texas
Hold'em) it's very easy to lapse into predictable play. This is particularly
true when playing online. While live casinos are literally designed to keep
people involved and stimulated, your home or office most likely has the opposite
effect-which can lead to just "playing by the book." If you find yourself
playing robotically: failing to adjust your play to the table, failing to notice
the tendencies of each player, making moves without asking yourself "what am I
trying to accomplish?", then it may be time to tweak your game a bit. Instead
of waiting for Queens, Kings or Aces, raise with a 7/2! Not only will it help
get you out of your funk, but it'll also keep your opponents off balance.
Tip Two: Online tells: The most reliable tells in online poker revolve
around betting speed. The easiest ones to pick up are the "dramatic pause"
tells. A long pause followed by a bet usually means the player is
strong and wants you to think he is weak. A long pause followed by a
check usually indicates a weak hand. This player either wants you to
check so he can get a free card, or wants you to think he has a strong enough
hand to "think" about betting. You'll rarely be check-raised by anyone who took
a long time to check, it's not a normal betting pattern. When check-raising most
players want everything to look as normal as possible to help make sure you'll
put in a bet before they spring the trap. If you do get a check-raise from a
player who paused heavily before the original check, be very careful. You
should also watch for instantaneous bets and raises on the turn and river. This
usually indicates a powerhouse hand and an attempt to get you to call by
intimidating you into it.
Tip Three: Limpin' Ain't Easy: Although this applies to
both live and online play, we see it so often in online poker games that it had
to be included: don't limp when you're the first to enter a pot! The logic
behind this tip us that since you have no money involved in the pot, if you fold
you lose nothing. Therefore, if you're going call you had better have a hand
that expects to earn money-and if your hand is a favorite, you should raise. In
addition, you will also stop giving away valuable information about the hands
you are playing (astute players will quickly divide your holdings into raising
and calling hands). By raising every time you enter a pot, you reveal the
minimum amount of information possible. (It should also be noted that in
Hold'em there a number of hands that are not worth a call, but are worth a
raise-however, that's another article.) In short, the best way to think about
this rule is that if a hand is not strong enough to raise with, it is not strong
enough to call with.
Of course, in poker, there is an exception to every rule. If
for instance, you're holding Aces and you know that the maniac to your left will
raise if you limp in, then by all means, limp away. However, this play is a
much more advanced move and you had better know what you're doing before you try
it. Not only do you risk wasting a big pocket pair, but you may easily end up
going broke if your opponent limps behind you and makes two pair on the flop
with a K,5.
Tip Four: Short-Handed Play: Most likely, a good number of the
tournaments you'll be playing online will be Sit-and-Go's (9-handed games that
begin as soon as 9 players signup to play.) When playing Sit-and-Go's you'll
inevitably be faced with short-handed play (or at least you hope you will be).
When playing short-handed, aggression is key. I'm sure you've seen it before:
the game gets down to three or four players and suddenly the guy on your right
is going nuts! He's raising, re-raising, and completely dominating the game. To
the beginner, or to those inexperienced in short-handed play, this wild-man
appears to have just thrown caution to the wind. He finally shows down a hand
and he's holding K,9! However, he probably won the hand-and he probably stole a
bunch o' blinds before that. So what's his trick? Aggression. A complete
poker player must learn to play a solid aggressive game. It's simply not enough
to sit back and wait for good cards during 9/10 handed play, only to fall apart
when you're close to the big money spots. For example, have you seen T.J.
Cloutier at a final table? He's about as tight as they come until he reaches
short-handed play. That's when he comes out firing. He does this because he
knows that if he doesn't, someone will-and then it'll be him getting run over
and not the other way around.
I know this tip may make you a little uncomfortable if you're
generally a tight player-but believe me, once you learn to enjoy short-handed
play it's probably the most fun you'll have a poker table.
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